QUANTIFYING THE RELATIVE CLINICAL VALUE OF NIVOLUMAB PLUS IPILIMUMAB VS. SUNITINIB IN FIRST-LINE ADVANCED OR METASTATIC RENAL CELL CARCINOMA WITH THE NUMBER NEEDED TO TREAT AND NUMBER NEEDED TO HARM IN SPAIN AND PORTUGAL

Author(s)

Polanco Sánchez C1, Alves D2, Gooden KM3, May J4, Malcolm B5, Du EX6, Betts KA6
1Bristol-Myers Squibb, Madrid, Spain, 2Bristol-Myers Squibb, Lisbon, Portugal, 3Bristol-Myers Squibb, Lawrenceville, NJ, USA, 4Bristol-Myers Squibb, Uxbridge, UK, 5Bristol-Myers Squibb, Middlesex, UK, 6Analysis Group, Inc., Los Angeles, CA, USA

OBJECTIVES

:
Nivolumab+ipilimumab (N+I) demonstrated superior efficacy and safety outcomes compared with sunitinib (S) as first-line treatment of intermediate-/poor-risk advanced or metastatic renal cell carcinoma (1L RCC) in the CheckMate 214 trial (CM-214; NCT02231749). This study estimated the number needed to treat (NNT) and number needed to harm (NNH) for N+I versus S in 1L RCC.

METHODS

:
Rates of overall survival (OS), objective response (ORR) per investigator, and treatment-related grade 3/4 adverse events (AEs) over 12, 24 and 36 months were calculated using patient-level data from CM-214 (minimum follow-up: 30 months). NNTs were calculated for OS and ORR as the inverse of the absolute risk reduction between N+I and S among all randomized patients (N+I: 425; S: 422). Similarly, the NNHs were calculated for grade 3/4 AEs among all treated patients (N+I: 423; S: 416).

RESULTS

:
At 12 months, one death would be prevented if 12.67 (95% CI: 7.36-45.30) patients were treated with N+I instead of S, which reduced to 9.00 patients treated (95% CI: 5.55-23.83) at 36 months. The NNT to achieve one additional responder with N+I versus S was 7.06 (95%CI: 4.88-12.76) at month 12. For every 4.13 (95% CI: 3.14-6.05) patients treated with S instead of N+I, one additional patient would have experienced a treatment-related grade 3/4 AE over 12 months.

In Spain and Portugal (PT), there are an estimated 2,582 and 526 patients with 1L RCC eligible for treatment with N+I, respectively. If all eligible patients in Spain (and PT) were treated with N+I instead of S, there would be 204 (PT=42) fewer deaths, 366 (PT=74) additional objective responders, and 624 (PT=127) fewer treatment-related grade 3/4 AEs by 12 months.

CONCLUSIONS

:
The NNT/NNH analysis showed that N+I provides consistent improved clinical benefits and lower risks of grade 3/4 AEs compared with S among patients with 1L RCC.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2019-11, ISPOR Europe 2019, Copenhagen, Denmark

Code

PCN26

Topic

Clinical Outcomes

Topic Subcategory

Clinical Outcomes Assessment, Comparative Effectiveness or Efficacy

Disease

Drugs, Oncology

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