PLAYING THE WEIGHTING GAME: A TARGETED LITERATURE REVIEW OF REAL-WORLD EVIDENCE OF WEIGHT REGAIN AFTER GLP-1 RECEPTOR AGONIST DISCONTINUATION AND IMPLICATIONS FOR HEALTHCARE RESOURCE USE

Author(s)

Octavia Borecka, PhD, Lizzy Adamson, MSc, Crystal Liu, PhD, Bethany Levick, PhD.
OPEN Health Evidence & Access, London, United Kingdom.
OBJECTIVES: GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) are effective in achieving clinically meaningful weight loss in patients with obesity, yet treatment discontinuation is common in real-world settings. Weight regain following cessation may drive treatment reinitiation and increased healthcare resource use (HCRU). This review aimed to characterise post-discontinuation weight trajectories and treatment reinitiation patterns, and to evaluate whether nutritional support variables are captured in real-world datasets - a prerequisite for cost-effectiveness modelling of adjunct lifestyle interventions.
METHODS: A targeted literature review was conducted in PubMed (January 2021-April 2026), limited to English-language human studies on GLP-1 RA therapy, weight outcomes, and nutritional variables, across populations in Europe and North America.
RESULTS: Fourteen studies were included (8 RCTs, 6 observational) and six studies reported post-discontinuation weight data. In STEP 1 trial extension, 67% of lost weight was regained within 12 months of stopping semaglutide, and in SURMOUNT-4 14% of body weight was regained within 52 weeks of stopping tirzepatide. In a real-world cohort of 7,881 patients, early discontinuation substantially attenuated weight loss (−3.6% vs −11.9% in persistent users). Critically for HRU, each 1% of post-discontinuation weight gain was associated with an increased hazard of treatment reinitiation up to 2.8% (n=41,792), creating a potentially costly cycle of cessation and re-prescription. Despite this, nutritional support variables were formally captured in only 3 of 14 studies (21%), and no study linked dietary intake or nutritional programme participation to post-discontinuation weight trajectories. Where lifestyle support was delivered, including within NHS specialist weight management services, it was not quantified, precluding cost-effectiveness evaluation.
CONCLUSIONS: Post-discontinuation weight regain drives measurable treatment reinitiation in real-world populations, yet the nutritional determinants of this cycle remain poorly characterised in available datasets. Routine incorporation of dietary and nutritional variables into RWD collection is essential to enable cost-effectiveness modelling of integrated weight maintenance strategies and inform payer decision-making.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2026-11, ISPOR Europe 2026, Vienna, Austria

Value in Health, Volume 29, Issue 12S

Code

RWD82

Topic

Economic Evaluation, Real World Data & Information Systems

Disease

Diabetes/Endocrine/Metabolic Disorders (including obesity)

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