Economic Impact of Incorporating a Fecal Bacterial Signature to Optimize FIT-Based Colorectal Cancer Screening in Spain

Author(s)

Sandra Taboada-López, MSc1, Mireia Sánchez-Vizcaino1, MSc1, Paula Soriano-Nogales, MSc1, Lia Oliver, PhD1, Mariona Serra-Pagès, PhD1, Sara Ramió-Pujol, PhD1, Laura Baldo, Prof2, Joan Brunet, Prof3.
1GoodGut, Girona, Spain, 2University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain, 3Institut Català d'Oncologia, Girona, Spain.
OBJECTIVES: Colorectal cancer (CRC) screening programs are essential for early detection and mortality reduction. However, the fecal immunochemical test (FIT) has a high false-positive (FP) rate, leading to unnecessary colonoscopies and substantial healthcare costs. A previously validated fecal bacterial signature has shown the potential to improve FIT specificity by reducing FP in multiple studies. This study evaluated the one-year economic impact of incorporating this bacterial signature into the CRC screening program in Spain.
METHODS: A comparative cost analysis was conducted to evaluate two strategies: (1) FIT-positive (≥20 µgHb/g) followed by colonoscopy, and (2) FIT-positive followed by the bacterial signature, with colonoscopy indicated only if both tests are positive. A cohort of individuals aged 50-69 years in Spain in 2024 was simulated, incorporating direct healthcare ressources and costs based on current epidemiological and clinical data. An interactive web-based tool was developed to enable real-time parameter customization for regional planning (https://cma-raidcrc-screen.shinyapps.io/cma_interface/).
RESULTS: In 2024, Spain’s target screening population was 13,620,780, of which 2,457,264 completed a valid FIT, reflecting 42% coverage and 42% participation rates. Considering a 5.73% FIT positivity rate, 140,801 individuals would be referred to colonoscopy, of whom 95,590 (67.89%) would not have significant findings and would be considered as FP. The bacterial signature reduced the performed colonoscopies to 68,638, a 28.19% reduction, decreasing unnecessary procedures and associated costs. The FIT+colonoscopy strategy cost was €142M, with 46.77% corresponding to costs from unnecessary procedures. Incorporating the bacterial signature reduced costs to €130M, saving €1.87M in primary care, €10.02M in colonoscopy-related costs, and €6.17M in secondary care. The €6.34M investment for the bacterial signature was offset by €17.72M in total savings, yielding €11.38M net savings (€-4.63 per participant).
CONCLUSIONS: Incorporating a validated fecal bacterial signature into FIT-based CRC screening improves healthcare resource utilization and reduces unnecessary procedures and its associated costs within Spain’s healthcare system.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2025-11, ISPOR Europe 2025, Glasgow, Scotland

Value in Health, Volume 28, Issue S2

Code

EE399

Topic

Economic Evaluation, Health Technology Assessment, Medical Technologies

Disease

Gastrointestinal Disorders, Oncology

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